Pundit Guide to the 2012 Election

I see the pundits are already beginning to trot out their incredible insight about who is definitely going to win the election in a week and a half, and exactly why this is going to happen and exactly what it means. If you’re a pundit and you haven’t written your piece yet, I’m going to give you a template to help you with your writing. If you’re a reader and you haven’t read any pundit’s pieces yet, you can also read the template to save time reading all the pieces later. All you have to do is randomly circle words in the brackets below:

Why [Romney/ Obama] Will [Win / Lose] The Election

Continue reading Pundit Guide to the 2012 Election

The Best Evidence That Obama Is Not Secretly A Muslim

One of the things that most frustrates me about the conservative world is the persistence in many circles that President Obama is secretly a Muslim. There are many levels of belief, from the mundane suspicion that he likes Islamic folks more than Americans all the way down to the rabid conspiracies that he’s an elaborately planted terrorist deliberately plotting the imminent destruction of the republic. Or something like that.

Maybe it’s the conservative version of the oft-libertarian truther movement. I find the notion that Obama is secretly a Muslim just as ridiculous as the notion that the government was behind 9/11. I’ve already explained why I’m not a truther; now I guess it’s time to explain why I’m not a… Muslimer?

Continue reading The Best Evidence That Obama Is Not Secretly A Muslim

The Gender Gap Myth and Obama’s War on Women

There were several poor questions in Tuesday night’s second presidential debate, but this might have been the worst:

In what new ways do you intend to rectify the inequalities in the workplace, specifically regarding females making only 72 percent of what their male counterparts earn?

The statistical gap between average female and male earnings is a favorite talking point of the left, which believes it is evidence that business owners are greedy jerks. Obama talked about a law he passed to fix the gender gap, and Romney talked about how he went out of his way to hire women when he was governor.

Continue reading The Gender Gap Myth and Obama’s War on Women

What Neither Party Has Talked About At The Debates So Far

We have now endured the first presidential and only vice-presidential debates of the 2012 election season. The Republicans and Democrats have endeavored to highlight their many differences, but I think it is more telling to look at all of the topics that, thus far, neither party has dared to discuss and neither moderator has dared to bring up.

To be fair, it’s impossible to discuss everything in the debates, and there are no doubt activists of various stripes who are bemoaning the absence of dozens of topics, including climate change, immigration, and the Federal Reserve. Well, here is a list of some of the things that I wish the Republican or Democratic candidates would talk about:

Continue reading What Neither Party Has Talked About At The Debates So Far

The Libertarian Case For Mitt Romney’s Party

I am not calling this post “The Libertarian Case For Mitt Romney,” because I agree with Doug Mataconis that there is no such case, and I’ve spent many posts arguing that Romney doesn’t seem likely to be any better than Obama on reducing the deficit or stopping the serious civil liberty abuses that have expanded under the last two presidents. I want to see Gary Johnson hit 5% and I think he’s got a real shot at it.

However, I think there’s an interesting point that I haven’t seen many libertarians making: There is an undeniably growing libertarian wing in the Republican party that did not exist the last time Republicans were in power. The question is whether it’s growing large enough to have an influence on policy.

Continue reading The Libertarian Case For Mitt Romney’s Party

Are Republicans More Fiscally Irresponsible Than Democrats?

Liberals like to think they have no bias, that they base their positions on evidence, following the data wherever it leads. But the real world is so complicated that they often trick themselves into discovering evidence for what they already believe, with the smug bonus of convincing themselves that it’s a “reality-based” position superior to their ideological opponents.

Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers claim to have evidence that Republicans are more fiscally irresponsible than Democrats. I think it’s just evidence of their own biases.

Continue reading Are Republicans More Fiscally Irresponsible Than Democrats?

The Despicable Drone Strikes

One of the most horrific aspects of current US foreign policy is rarely reported by US media and even more rarely discussed by the leading presidential candidates. I’m talking about our military’s increasingly dangerous and unaccountable use of drone strikes, where a remote unmanned aircraft fires a missile on suspected terrorists in Middle Eastern countries like Pakistan and Yemen.

In theory, the use of drones is a great technological advance that allows us to eliminate dangerous individuals without putting our own soldiers at risk. But despite the Obama administration’s assurances that it’s a precisely-targeted mechanism with very few civilian casualties, the evidence is beginning to mount that it’s a woefully flawed program that is severely disrupting the lives of entire nations in ways that are not only counter effective, but also downright despicable.

What makes these drone strikes so evil?

Continue reading The Despicable Drone Strikes