The Case Against The Case For Drones

Kenneth Anderson has an essay in Commentary called “The Case For Drones,” arguing that conservatives should accept drones as effective, moral, and basically awesome, and that any conservative who doesn’t is a kooky isolationist. I suppose some drone pushback from the neoconservative wing was expected after Rand Paul grabbed the spotlight for the libertarian wing a couple months ago, but I’m not sure I’m convinced by Anderson’s case.

To be fair, he makes some good arguments against the weaker, more tangential anti-drone claims, such as the hazards of remote impersonal killing (he asks how is it any less impersonal than an old-fashioned pilot dropping bombs on things he can’t see, and says we still need ground contacts for drone-able countries), or the slippery slope that killer drones will soon be circling London or Paris (he says we only need them in countries with weak governments that can’t control their insurgents). But those kinds of things were never my real problems with our drone policy. Regarding the heavier claims, my anti-drone bias remains skeptical.

Are Drone Strikes Effective?

Anderson argues against the claim that drone strikes are counterproductive because the resentment of civilian casualties creates more militants for every one we take out. In a response that seems bizarre to me, Anderson claims that “village-level resentments fueling recruitment… matters far less in terms of war fighting when the United States no longer has infantry in those places.”

Maybe I’m missing something, but I thought we were striking militants because they were planning attacks against the United States, not because they might attack our nearby soldiers. So, hey man, villagers might join al-Qaeda after we drone-kill their civilian relatives, but it doesn’t matter because we’re getting our troops out of there anyway and sending them back home, which is actually the place those new members are plotting to attack. What?

Anderson also seeks to downplay how much Pakistani citizens hate the drone strikes, apparently putting more trust in something a soldier “remarked” to him than the actual data, which he also misrepresents:

Do Gallup polls of the general Pakistani population indicate overwhelming resentment about drone strikes—or do they really suggest that more than half the country is unaware of a drone campaign at all? Recent polls found the latter to be the case.

There was a Pew poll indicating that “just over one-in- three Pakistanis (35%) have heard about the drone strikes,” but Anderson conveniently leaves out the rest of the details: “Nearly all (93%) of those who are familiar with the strikes say they are a bad thing.”

Instead, Anderson takes the time to make red-herring arguments against ever fearing blowback, because, hey, if George McClellan hadn’t been replaced because he was too concerned about blowback, “the Union would have lost the Civil War.” Ah, so we point out how different the global war on terror is from traditional warfare to defend the necessity of drone strikes, but we’ll draw random historical parallels to downplay the arguments against them. What?

If anything, I might argue that blowback is more likely from arbitrary targeted killings that drop out of the sky into normal life and accidentally kill civilians than it is from the sort of traditional bombing of countries at declared war. So I don’t think Anderson has made a convincing case that the drone strikes are not counterproductive.

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On Minimum Wages And Average Productivity

Elizabeth Warren has some quotes about minimum wages that are making the rounds these days. Here’s one:

elizabeth-warren-wages-productivity

There’s another variant that claims if minimum wage had risen at the same pace as productivity for such and such arbitrary length of time, it would now stand st $22/hour. On the surface, these statements seem like a reasonable argument for raising the minimum wage, until you realize the clever sleight-of-hand being applied here.

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The Trouble With Gay Marriage

I grew up opposed to gay marriage like a dutiful conservative Christian. Eventually I came to realize that while Paul had a lot to say about what God thinks about marriage; he didn’t have much to say about what Caesar should think of it. I’ve been encouraged to see many young conservatives opening up to the libertarian-esque idea that maybe government shouldn’t be involved in marriage altogether.

Many conservatives, of course, still attempt to defend their opposition to gay marriage with faux objectivity, clinging to the increasingly tenuous connection between marriage and procreation, or grasping at any study that purports to show negative outcomes for children of gay couples. To me, this looks a bit like fighting cultural battles on political turf. For example, there are studies that appear to show negative outcomes for children born out of wedlock, but while many conservatives may hope to convince people to save children (if not sex) for marriage, no one is arguing for a ban on unmarried births.

Political Concerns

There is a political aspect of gay marriage that concerns me, however, and all the more because many conservatives seem to be ignoring it altogether. It seems likely that when we lose the ban on gay marriage, instead of moving to a neutral middle, we will go all the way to the other end and also lose voluntary, conscientious objection to it. In fact, it’s already happening.

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Calculated Knowledge vs. Direct Knowledge

I’m working on a new lens for interpreting the world that I’d like to share with you. Everything you know about the universe can be divided into direct knowledge and calculated knowledge. Direct knowledge is what has been directly observed by humanity, and calculated knowledge is only based on formulas, models, studies, estimates, extrapolations, etc.

For example, if a study finds an extremely high correlation between smoking and lung cancer, an association between the two would be calculated knowledge. If a scientist discovered and described the biological processes that directly turn cigarette use into deadly cancer cells in most people, but not all people, and why, that would be direct knowledge.

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Asteroid Detection: A Public Good, or A Public Good-Enough?

It has been over 100 years since a big asteroid slammed into Planet Earth; the famous Tunguska Event in Russia flattened trees for miles around. Scientists and space nerds eagerly awaited the close arrival of another big one last week that was scheduled to miss us by about 14 minutes, coming closer than the moon and even closer than some of our satellites.

This rare close encounter of 2012DA14, which was only discovered last year, spawned much discussion about the utility of improving detection of all these nearby rocks, especially since sooner or later one of them seems bound to hit a populated area.

Stunningly, twelve hours before this once-in-a-century asteroid event, another once-in-a-century event came out of nowhere in the form of a smaller asteroid that actually did hit Earth in the same country that saw the last once-in-century asteroid. It exploded over a populated area, injuring over a thousand people who stood too close to glass windows that shattered while they were gaping at the unexpected fireball.

It was almost unbelievable that the two events were unconnected, but it appears that the meteor crashed from a completely opposite direction while 2012DA14 was still several moon lengths away!

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On Minimum Wages and Maximum Signaling

So, Obama wants to raise the federal minimum wage from $7.25/hr to $9/hr. Like many generally conservative persons, I oppose the minimum wage on principle, expressed by countless others but most recently by The Crimson Reach:

if I want to hire someone to do a thing at $X/hour and that someone is willing to do the thing for $X/hour, or vice versa, this arrangement between we two is none of anyone else’s… business

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We Must. We Must. We Must.

Is it too late to comment on Obama’s second inauguration? Well, here goes. Much digital ink has been spilled about the way Obama’s speech revealed the modern progressive vision, etc, etc. I was most touched by the word cloud of the speech that I saw floating around various news websites:

Look at that giant “must.” Is there any more brilliant display of the coercive power of the state?

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The Absurdity of the Platinum Coin and Other Absurd Absurdities

The clever plan to sidestep the debt ceiling with a $1 trillion platinum coin swept the blogosphere and even the real-life-news-osphere this week, but it was definitively shot down today by the U.S. Treasury. I didn’t get a chance to blog about the silliness before it was too late, but Sonic Charmer (or is he calling himself The Crimson Reach now?) dutifully delineated the absurdity of it all, including the meta-absurdity that many serious people seriously regarded the idea without any absurdity.

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